La volatilidad salvaje de Bitcoin podría comenzar a dar forma a otros mercados

En un día normal, bitcoin puede perder o ganar varios miles de dólares de su valor con movimientos porcentuales de dos dígitos.
Mientras que los expertos debaten sobre el papel de Bitcoin en un mundo aún dominado por las monedas fiduciarias, el verdadero riesgo es cómo la criptomoneda comienza a afectar a otros mercados, según Jordan Rochester, un estratega cambiario de Nomura.
En una nota el lunes, Rochester pronosticó que el bitcoin tendría un impacto creciente en los mercados energéticos, particularmente el carbón.

La minería Bitcoin requiere mucha electricidad. Y China, el mayor productor y consumidor de carbón del mundo, alberga alrededor del 71% de las reservas mineras de criptomonedas, dijo Rochester.
“Las estimaciones se hicieron en marzo de 2016 esperando que el consumo de energía de Bitcoin coincida con el de Dinamarca en 2020”, dijo Rochester.
“Hoy en día, Bitcoin ya ha igualado eso, tres años antes de lo previsto. Entonces, si no se trata de una acción de precio inspirada por el riesgo de bitcoin que mueve a otros mercados, ¿qué hay de los mayores costos de energía?”
El consumo de energía de Bitcoin se debe en parte al hecho de que es una criptomoneda de prueba de trabajo, lo que significa que los mineros son recompensados ​​por resolver acertijos matemáticos en la cadena de bloques y por ayudar a prevenir ataques en la red bitcoin. A medida que los cálculos se vuelven más complicados, se requiere más energía.
“Mientras el prisionero de guerra sea la forma más común de criptomoneda, esto podría comenzar a tener un costo económico y ambiental”, dijo Rochester, quien reveló que “tiene un interés personal en bitcoin y ethereum”.

Bitcoin, con un valor de mercado de casi $ 300 mil millones, ya impacta en otras clases de activos. Los fabricantes de chips como Nvidia y AMD se han visto respaldados por la demanda de sus productos para extraer bitcoins. En movimientos más desconcertantes, algunas acciones se han disparado justo después de que las compañías anunciaran que estaban agregando la palabra “blockchain” a sus nombres.
“Puede ser demasiado pronto para que Bitcoin tenga un impacto global en otros mercados de activos en esta etapa”, dijo Rochester.
“En lugar de eso, necesitamos ver dónde están más expuestos los inversores a nivel regional para donde correlacionaría esta correlación entre mercados. Dado que Japón representa casi la mitad del comercio mundial de bitcoin en comparación con solo el 25% en los EE. UU., Podría ser en Asia, donde la señora Watanabe retrocede “.

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